Technology Short Portfolio

UPDATED ON

Nov 12

About this portfolio

Description

Technology Short holds up to 8 technology names above $500M short. Selection takes the model's weakest positive score. Returns are those of a short position in the basket, so the figure rises when the basket falls.

Strategy

Equal capital goes into every position. The book is rebuilt each morning from the names the model expects to fall, and the orders are placed as market orders, so shorts and covers fill at the opening price. Positions are held for at least 6 days and have no maximum: a position is covered when the model no longer selects it or when a stop is hit. Every position carries a 40% stop on both sides. A short is covered if the price runs 40% above its entry, and equally if it falls 40% below it, filling at the first open after the level is touched. Reported returns are those of a short position in the basket: the position gains when the basket falls and loses when it rises. They are measured from those opening prices and include every stop exit. A short position's loss is not capped, and borrowing costs and stock-loan fees are not included.

Holdings:8
New Additions:1
Removed:1

Holdings8

NEW

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Application
Market Cap:$140.10B
Analysts Rating:2.2/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
59.4%
16.7%
7.9%

DAKT

Daktronics, Inc.
Sector:Technology
Industry:Hardware, Equipment & Parts
Market Cap:$0.93B
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
34.1%
14.3%
5.8%

SABR

Sabre Corporation
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Infrastructure
Market Cap:$0.68B
Analysts Rating:2.6/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
68.2%
19.5%
32.5%

DOX

Amdocs Limited
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Infrastructure
Market Cap:$4.53B
Analysts Rating:2.5/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
52.4%
23.5%
20.0%

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation
Sector:Technology
Industry:Semiconductors
Market Cap:$4.50T
Analysts Rating:2.3/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
30.5%
25.4%
16.3%

DBD

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Application
Market Cap:$1.96B
Analysts Rating:2.8/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
44.3%
26.9%
15.0%

WIT

Wipro Limited
Sector:Technology
Industry:Information Technology Services
Market Cap:$21.37B
Analysts Rating:3.1/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
50.9%
20.1%
10.6%

GRAB

Grab Holdings Limited
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Application
Market Cap:$13.55B
Analysts Rating:2.2/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
70.6%
20.0%
10.7%
Removed Stocks1
REMOVED

BDC

Belden Inc.
Sector:Technology
Industry:Communication Equipment
Market Cap:$3.83B
Analysts Rating:2.2/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
51.9%
31.8%
13.9%

Recent News & Events

SABRPOSITIVENov 17, 2026
Investor Day

Sabre 2026 Investor Day scheduled Nov 17

Sabre will host its 2026 Investor Day on November 17, 2026, where management will detail strategy, growth opportunities, AI role, and a multi-year financial outlook. A formal multi-year guide could reset expectations and act as a near-term catalyst.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Release)
NVDANEGATIVENov 12, 2026
Analyst Downgrade

Bernstein halves NVDA price target to $200

Bernstein cut its rating to Market Perform from Outperform and slashed its price target by half from $400 to $200, citing the CEO scandal and the difficulty of retaining Huang given the affair with a direct report. The downgrade reinforces negative sentiment and could prompt further sell-side revisions.

CNBC
NVDANEGATIVENov 12, 2026
Analyst Downgrade

Oppenheimer downgrades NVDA to Perform, drops target

Oppenheimer downgraded Nvidia to Perform from Outperform and removed its price target, arguing Huang's role as the face of AI cannot be overstated and his departure is a material, potentially thesis-changing event. A second major downgrade in the same week amplifies institutional de-risking pressure.

Yahoo Finance
NVDANEGATIVENov 12, 2026
Regulatory/Geopolitical Risk

US Commerce finalizing chip control update; China responds

The Information reported the US Commerce Department is finalizing a semiconductor control update aimed at preventing remote access and chip smuggling into China via data centers. Beijing warned the US against using the Huang spy allegations as a pretext for tech restrictions, raising the risk of retaliatory or tightened export measures that could hit Nvidia's China revenue outlook.

Yahoo Finance
WITNEUTRALNov 12, 2026
Investor Meetings / Management Commentary

Wipro to meet analysts and investors in Mumbai Nov 17 and 19

Wipro will attend the JM Financial Annual India Conference on November 17 and a group non-deal roadshow in Mumbai on November 19. Management commentary on demand, large contract activity, execution and the December-quarter outlook could shift sentiment ahead of the reporting cycle; the schedule itself provides no new guidance.

AD HOC NEWS
SABRPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
M&A Rumor

Report of possible Sabre-Travelport combination

A report (via OctusCredit posting on X) indicated Travelport shareholders are discussing paths forward, including a combination with Sabre. SABR jumped 8.5% on the news, and follow-through or confirmation/denial could drive further volatility in the near term.

Seeking Alpha
DOXNEGATIVENov 11, 2026
Analyst Downgrade

Zacks downgrades to Strong Sell; Oppenheimer cuts to Market Perform

Zacks Research downgraded Amdocs to "strong sell" from "hold" on November 11, while Oppenheimer cut the stock to "market perform" from "outperform" on November 4. The wave of downgrades and lowered earnings estimates reinforces negative momentum and can pressure the stock further as institutional positioning adjusts.

MarketBeat
DOXNEGATIVENov 11, 2026
Securities Investigation

Multiple law firms probe potential securities claims

Several law firms announced investigations into potential securities claims tied to Amdocs' disclosures and the T-Mobile agreement issues, following the ~30% stock decline on November 4. These investigations raise litigation/headline risk and can sustain negative sentiment and volatility in the near term.

MarketBeat
NVDANEGATIVENov 11, 2026
CEO Succession Crisis

Nvidia board weighs ousting CEO Jensen Huang

Nvidia's board met Wednesday evening to decide whether to remove founder-CEO Jensen Huang after reports of a second extramarital affair with a direct report, following an earlier affair with a woman US intelligence suspects of Chinese espionage. Analysts cited by CNBC say removal could send the stock down ~20% given Huang's centrality to Nvidia's success, and the lack of a succession plan is being called "uninvestable" by some investors. A formal decision or interim CEO announcement is an imminent binary catalyst.

CNBC
NVDANEGATIVENov 11, 2026
Congressional/Regulatory Scrutiny

Senators seek preservation of Nvidia China export documents

Sens. Chris Coons and Elizabeth Warren sent a letter to Trump Cabinet members asking them to preserve documents related to Nvidia's chip exports to China or entities that could divert chips there. This signals escalating congressional scrutiny and potential new export-restriction or investigation headlines over the near term.

Yahoo Finance
DBDNEGATIVENov 11, 2026
Analyst/Media Commentary

Stock down ~10% over 30 days amid mixed sentiment

Recent coverage notes DBD shares fell 4.6% in one day and ~9.9% over 30 days as investors weigh the mixed Q3 results and new buyback together. Continued negative momentum and analyst reassessment of the lowered guidance could sustain near-term volatility.

Simply Wall St
WITPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
Trading Activity / Technical Breakout

Elevated trading volume and price breakout above resistance

Wipro saw trading volume of ~11.76 million shares versus a seven-day average of ~10.03 million, with the stock breaking above its second resistance level at Rs 202. Elevated volume and technical strength can attract short-term momentum interest, though the move may be transient.

The Economic Times
UBERPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Technical Milestone

UBER crosses above 50-day moving average

Shares crossed above the 50-day moving average (~$69.98), trading near $71.13, a technical signal that may attract momentum buyers in the near term.

MarketBeat
GRABNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Partnership Ann.

$750M Grab commitment to Malaysia AI data centers with SoftBank

Grab signed joint development agreements with SoftBank and PETROS for $1.85B initial seed capital ($750M from Grab) to build AI infrastructure in Malaysia, targeting 5GW+ of AI compute. The agreements carry binding funding obligations, and shares fell 3.2% on the news as investors weighed the capital outlay against Grab's core business. SoftBank's five-year lock-up on its direct Grab shares is a modest offset.

SEC Filing (Form 6-K)
UBERPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Partnership Ann.

McDonald's names Uber preferred delivery partner in 14 markets

McDonald's designated Uber as its preferred delivery partner across 14 markets under a multi-year expansion, including orders placed through McDonald's app. This strengthens Uber's delivery position against DoorDash and supports the Delivery segment's momentum.

MarketBeat
UBERPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Product Launch

Uber launches parking reservations in 15 US cities

Following its SpotHero acquisition, Uber launched in-app parking reservations in 15 US cities, adding a new revenue stream and complementing its mobility platform and future robotaxi operations. Incremental positive for platform engagement and monetization.

MarketBeat
NVDANEGATIVENov 8, 2026
Internal Investigation

Wachtell-led probe into potential secrets disclosure

Nvidia's board launched a Wachtell Lipton-led investigation into whether Huang may have divulged corporate secrets or endangered US national security through his relationship with Alice Huang, a woman US intelligence suspects was recruited by China's Ministry of State Security. Findings or interim disclosures from the probe are a live headline risk; the board has said it has "no reason to believe" secrets were compromised.

Yahoo Finance
SABRPOSITIVENov 5, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 beat-and-raise with higher EBITDA guidance

Sabre reported Q3 2026 revenue of $738.4M (up 3%, ~1% beat), Adjusted EBITDA of $163.7M (up 16%, ~6% beat), and raised full-year 2026 Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA guidance to ~$610M (above ~$588M consensus) for the second consecutive quarter. The beat-and-raise supports positive near-term sentiment and estimate revisions.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Release)
SABRPOSITIVENov 5, 2026
Debt Refinancing

Completed refinancing lowers rate, extends maturities to 2032

Sabre completed a debt refinancing at a lower interest rate, extending certain maturities to 2032 with no large maturities until Q3 2029. This reduces near-term refinancing risk and interest burden, a modest positive for sentiment though partly reflected in results.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Release)
DBDNEGATIVENov 4, 2026
Securities Investigation

Levi & Korsinsky opens securities investigation into DBD

Following the guidance cut, Levi & Korsinsky announced an investigation into potential securities law violations on behalf of investors who lost money after the Q3 report. Such investigations can create headline risk and legal overhang, potentially pressuring the stock and inviting further law-firm announcements in the near term.

PR Newswire (Levi & Korsinsky)
UBERNEGATIVENov 4, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue beat, Q4 profit guidance disappoints

Uber reported Q3 revenue of $14.77B (up 10% YoY) topping estimates, but guided Q4 adjusted EPS to $0.95-$0.99 versus $1.06 consensus and gross bookings below expectations. The soft forward outlook, driven by driver shortages, elevated fuel costs, and Middle East conflict impact, is the dominant near-term driver of sentiment.

Reuters via Investing.com
UBERNEGATIVENov 4, 2026
Operational Update

CEO flags driver shortages and fuel costs limiting international growth

Management reiterated that driver-supply constraints and rising fuel costs in international markets (India, Brazil, Canada) are capping Mobility growth despite strong demand, requiring increased driver incentives. Persistent constraints could limit ride growth and pressure margins.

Yahoo Finance
DOXNEGATIVENov 3, 2026
Earnings Report / Guidance Cut

Q4 FY2026 results in line but FY2027 guidance slashed

Amdocs reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $1.19B and non-GAAP EPS of $1.98, both in line with consensus, but issued FY2027 guidance projecting revenue declines of 14.3%-17.9% and non-GAAP EPS declines of 26%-30%. Q1 FY2027 revenue guidance midpoint of $975M badly missed the ~$1.2B consensus, driving a 39%-45% single-day share collapse and resetting the stock's valuation baseline.

Amdocs Press Release
DOXNEGATIVENov 3, 2026
Customer Contract Dispute

Mutual breach notices with T-Mobile threaten termination

Amdocs and T-Mobile have each issued notices asserting material breach of their agreements, threatening termination and arbitration. Amdocs explicitly incorporated potential termination of the T-Mobile agreements into its conservative FY2027 guidance, and the 12-month backlog fell ~9.6% YoY and ~$370M sequentially, creating ongoing uncertainty over a key revenue source.

Amdocs Press Release
DOXPOSITIVENov 3, 2026
M&A / Acquisition

Acquires EIS for ~$340M to enter insurance tech

Amdocs announced the acquisition of EIS, a cloud-native insurance technology provider, for approximately $340M in cash plus potential performance-based consideration. The deal diversifies revenue into insurance and adds some inorganic contribution to FY2027 guidance, a modest positive offset to the otherwise negative news flow.

Amdocs Press Release
DOXNEUTRALNov 3, 2026
Dividend Increase

Board approves 3% dividend hike to $0.586

The Board approved a 3% increase in the quarterly cash dividend from $0.569 to $0.586 per share, anticipated to be first paid in April 2027 subject to shareholder approval at the January 2027 annual meeting. The modest raise signals balance-sheet confidence but is unlikely to materially move the stock near term.

Amdocs Press Release
GRABPOSITIVENov 3, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue beat, record EBITDA, guidance raised

Grab reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1,112M (+27% YoY, +30% constant currency) and record Adjusted EBITDA of $237M (+73% YoY), with profit of $18M. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to $4.15–4.20B and Adjusted EBITDA to $790–800M. The beat-and-raise plus $400M of September–October buybacks ($500M remaining) is a positive near-term sentiment driver.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Press Release)
GRABNEGATIVENov 3, 2026
Regulatory Filing

$60M break fee after Taiwan FTC rejects foodpanda deal

Taiwan's Fair Trade Commission rejected Grab's proposed acquisition of Delivery Hero's foodpanda Taiwan business, forcing a $60M break fee to be recorded in Q4 2026. The charge is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and does not affect full-year guidance, but removes a growth catalyst and adds a one-time IFRS earnings hit.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Press Release)
DBDNEGATIVEOct 28, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 results beat revenue but FY guidance slashed

DBD reported Q3 revenue of $990.9M (1.2% beat) and adjusted EPS of $1.34 (2.6% beat), but cut FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.50-$4.85 from $5.25-$5.75 (~15% cut) and free cash flow guidance to $190M-$210M from $255M-$270M (~24% cut), citing higher memory/component costs and lower-margin retail/POS mix. Shares fell over 9% the morning after, reflecting the market's focus on the guidance reduction over the headline beat.

PR Newswire (Company Release)
DBDPOSITIVEOct 28, 2026
Share Repurchase Program

Board authorizes new $250M buyback

Diebold Nixdorf's board approved a new $250M share repurchase program as the prior $200M program nears completion. The buyback signals management confidence and provides a capital-return floor that could support the stock near-term, though it may be weighed against the guidance cut and margin pressures.

Diebold Nixdorf Investor Relations
WITNEGATIVEOct 15, 2026
Earnings Report / Guidance

Q2 FY27 results in line; soft Q3 guidance and weak bookings

Wipro reported Q2 revenue roughly flat sequentially with 16.5% operating margin, but total bookings fell 22.9% QoQ and large deal bookings dropped 58.6% QoQ to a 19-quarter low. Q3 IT services guidance of -1.5% to +0.5% CC reflects seasonal furloughs, healthcare softness and client-specific issues. Management expects slipped deals to close and Q3 bookings to be robust, a claim investors will test.

Wipro Press Release
DAKTNEGATIVEOct 14, 2026
Restructuring Announcement

Manufacturing optimization and Ireland facility exit announced

Daktronics announced a manufacturing network optimization including a phased exit of its Ennistymon, Ireland facility and exit from customized international transportation business. Expected $18M annualized savings by FY2028, but $15.8M in non-recurring charges with ~$7.0M hitting Q2 FY2027, pressuring near-term margins and EPS.

Daktronics Investor Relations
DAKTNEGATIVEOct 14, 2026
Regulatory Filing

8-K discloses $13.5M Ireland exit charges and capex correction

The 8-K details ~$13.5M in cumulative charges for the Irish phase-out ($11.7M severance, $1.0M impairments) with ~$12.3M recorded in FY2027. It also corrects FY2027 capex guidance upward from $13.2M to $23.4M, a ~$10M increase that raises near-term cash outflow concerns.

SEC Filing (8-K)
DAKTNEUTRALSep 17, 2026
Executive Compensation Change

Acting CFO salary raised to $1.2M plus RSU grant

Board approved raising Acting CFO Howard Atkins' base salary to $1.2M annually effective September 27, 2026, plus a $170K RSU grant vesting over three years (fully vesting upon permanent CFO appointment). Signals continued CFO vacancy and modest incremental compensation expense; low direct price impact.

SEC Filing (8-K)
DAKTNEUTRALSep 2, 2026
Earnings Report

Q1 FY2027 results show EPS growth but order decline

Q1 FY2027 EPS of $0.40 (up 21.2%) on 7.1% sales growth and 10.6% operating margin, with $311M backlog. However, new orders fell to $191.8M from $238.5M year-over-year, which may raise near-term demand concerns despite management attributing it to order timing.

Daktronics Investor Relations
WITNEGATIVEFeb 18, 2026
Sector Sentiment / Competitive Threat

Anthropic Claude Sonnet 4.6 launch reignites AI disruption fears

Anthropic launched Claude Sonnet 4.6, described as its most capable Sonnet model, reviving investor concerns that AI could disrupt traditional software and IT services businesses. The Nifty IT index fell ~2.5% and Wipro shares dropped over 2% in early trade, mirroring peer weakness. Continued AI capability announcements pose a near-term overhang on IT services valuations.

Samco

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