ForecastQ is built and run by an AI researcher and engineer who first built it for himself: a way to invest with the rigour of genuine analysis, without the hours that rigour normally costs. Underneath it sits an open question. Can quantitative AI methods, applied with statistical discipline, produce something durable in financial markets, or only a pattern that works until it doesn’t?
What started as a personal tool became several years of research and engineering, spent studying the problem, distilling it into principles, turning the principles into mathematics, and coding, testing and recoding until the results genuinely held up. ForecastQ is the platform that came out of that work, now open to anyone who wants to look at the market the way a researcher does: as data, distributions and probabilities rather than opinions.
Note that ForecastQ is, first and foremost, a research platform and a living record of an engineering experiment. It is not a financial adviser, and nothing here is financial advice.
How ForecastQ works
The same five steps run every trading day, from the first scan of the universe to the orders placed before the open.
How the signals are produced
01
Universe scan
Every trading day the whole universe is re-analysed: custom features are built from the latest data, and the models derive their signals from them. Yesterday’s result is not carried over. The run starts from the data as it stands this morning.
02
Custom models
Models developed in-house, built on unique and unorthodox methods, score each stock’s probability of a significant up, down or either-way move. The models are the result of years of research.
03
Algorithmic portfolios
The portfolios are not hand-picked lists. Each one is an algorithmic optimisation over those signals, adapted to its own scenario: a sector, a market-cap band, a risk profile, a diversification rule.
Reading the probabilities
04
The three numbers
Up
The probability that the stock makes a significant positive return over a short horizon (typically a few days to a week or two), given today’s analysis of the whole universe.
Down
The probability of a significant negative return over the same horizon, from the same analysis. It is scored on its own, not as one minus Up, and is the number to read for a short position.
Move
The probability of a significant move in either direction over the same horizon, regardless of which way.
Every probability is a statement about today’s setup. A stock that did not move as expected may carry a different probability tomorrow, because tomorrow’s universe is analysed afresh.
Each of the three is measured independently of the other two. They are not complementary and do not add up to 100%: a stock can score high on all three, or low on all three. Read together, they form a single confidence vector for a position rather than three separate opinions.
Try a shape:
When Up, Down and Move are all high, a move is very probable but its direction is unclear.
When Up (or Down) is high while Move is low, the setup is directional but probably modest in size.
When all three are low, the model sees nothing worth acting on in the name today.
Many more readings follow from the shape of the vector. These are only examples of how to read it.
A trading day with ForecastQ
05
Published pre-market
The day’s signals and holdings are published before the market opens. That timing is the point: the orders for the day can be set in the pre-market session, in a few minutes, and the portfolio needs no active intraday management.
The time it asks of you is the time it takes to read the day’s changes and place the orders.
Universe scan
Get in touch
Questions about the method, a portfolio that did not behave as you expected, or a reason to think part of this is wrong are all welcome. Messages go to the person who built ForecastQ.
Disclaimer
The stock recommendations and any related information furnished by ForecastQ are provided strictly for informational and educational purposes only. This information is derived solely from algorithmic analysis and is not, and should not be construed to be, personalized financial, investment, legal, tax, or any other professional advice tailored to individual circumstances. ForecastQ is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner and does not provide personalized financial recommendations or services. Accordingly, ForecastQ explicitly disclaims any responsibility or liability for any investment decisions made, or outcomes achieved, based on the recommendations or information provided. Users should not rely on the information provided herein as a substitute for independent professional advice. Users are strongly advised to consult with appropriately qualified financial advisors, legal counsel, or tax professionals before making any investment decisions or implementing any investment strategy. Past performance, whether actual or hypothetical, is not necessarily indicative of, or a guarantee of, future results. All investments involve significant risk, including, but not limited to, the risk of losing your entire investment. Investment values can fluctuate considerably, and losses may exceed the amount originally invested. Users assume all risk associated with the use of the information provided by ForecastQ.