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Every name on today’s lists, with its Up and Down probabilities.
Reports that Nvidia's board was preparing to oust CEO Jensen Huang sent NVDA down ~8.6% after hours, dragging Nasdaq futures lower. With NVDA earnings due Nov 17, leadership uncertainty at the market's AI bellwether threatens broad tech/semiconductor sentiment and index-level volatility in the near term.
GotradeFollowing a hot CPI, traders fully price a 25bp Fed rate hike next month (CME ~89%, Kalshi ~86%), with the dollar at a 19-month high and USD/JPY near 160. Hawkish repricing pressures duration-sensitive equities and raises intervention risk in FX, a key near-term macro driver.
GotradeTreasury auctions $25bn of the 2056 reopening at 13:00 ET, the first cash-bond test since CPI, meeting a large leveraged net short. A tail could pressure long-end yields and spill over into equity valuations, especially rate-sensitive growth names.
Global Macro DailyCore PPI is forecast at 0.3% m/m versus 0.7% prior, with headline at 0.4% versus 1.3%. A hotter print would reinforce the December hike narrative and pressure equities and bonds; a soft print could relieve rate-sensitive sectors.
AsleepAce Daily ReportCisco (EPS est $1.15) and Applied Materials (EPS est $4.06) report after the close, with both stocks down sharply over three months. Results will test semiconductor-equipment and networking sentiment amid the AI trade's wobble.
GotradeInitial claims (forecast 194k vs 189k prior) at 8:30 ET and existing home sales (3.89M vs 3.99M) at 10:00 ET provide the first live labor and housing reads since CPI. A soft claims print would support the hawkish Fed narrative and pressure equities.
AsleepAce Daily ReportMultiple Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Hammack, Barr, Daly, Schmid, Williams) plus the October FOMC minutes on Wednesday will shape rate expectations after the hawkish CPI repricing. Hawkish commentary would reinforce hike pricing and pressure equities.
AsleepAce Daily ReportBrent (~$93.6) and WTI (~$87.7) rose 2-3% on Iran's nuclear line, lifting energy shares. Escalation would support energy but add inflationary pressure reinforcing the Fed's hawkish path, a cross-asset risk in the near term.
Global Macro Daily