Midcap Short Portfolio

UPDATED ON

Nov 12

About this portfolio

Description

Midcap Short holds up to 4 mid caps above $2B short. Selection follows the model's negative score. Returns are those of a short position in the basket, so the figure rises when the basket falls.

Strategy

Equal capital goes into every position. The book is rebuilt each morning from the names the model expects to fall, and the orders are placed as market orders, so shorts and covers fill at the opening price. Positions are held for 12 to 28 days: they are not rotated out before day 12 and are covered by day 28. Every position carries a 40% stop on both sides. A short is covered if the price runs 40% above its entry, and equally if it falls 40% below it, filling at the first open after the level is touched. Reported returns are those of a short position in the basket: the position gains when the basket falls and loses when it rises. They are measured from those opening prices and include every stop exit. A short position's loss is not capped, and borrowing costs and stock-loan fees are not included.

Holdings:4
New Additions:0
Removed:0

Holdings4

BEAM

Beam Therapeutics Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$2.73B
Analysts Rating:2.4/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
60.9%
32.6%
25.1%

GRAB

Grab Holdings Limited
Sector:Technology
Industry:Software - Application
Market Cap:$13.55B
Analysts Rating:2.2/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
70.6%
20.0%
10.7%

RIOT

Riot Platforms, Inc.
Sector:Financial Services
Industry:Financial - Capital Markets
Market Cap:$6.27B
Analysts Rating:2.1/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
78.8%
42.9%
44.3%

LEGN

Legend Biotech Corporation
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$4.33B
Analysts Rating:2.3/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
47.8%
43.0%
39.1%

Recent News & Events

RIOTPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
Analyst Price Target Raise

B.Riley raises RIOT PT to $37, maintains Buy

B.Riley lifted its price target to $37 from $25 (over 100% upside from $18.08), citing the Corsicana lease as the most robust it has seen in the space given scale, capital intensity, and record-high yield on cost. The firm noted RIOT trades at a ~16% implied cap rate versus peers at 11%, suggesting valuation re-rating potential.

Investing.com
LEGNPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
Analyst Rating Reiteration

H.C. Wainwright reiterates Buy, $65 price target

H.C. Wainwright maintained a Buy rating and $65 price target post-Q3, well above the ~$20 trading level. The reiteration offers a modest counterweight to the selloff but is unlikely to reverse sentiment on its own.

Investing.com
BEAMPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Clinical Trial Results

Positive Topline Pivotal BEACON Data for risto-cel in SCD

Beam reported that risto-cel met the primary efficacy endpoint (freedom from severe VOCs for 12 consecutive months) and all primary safety and secondary endpoints in the BEACON Phase 1/2 trial. This de-risks the lead program and supports an imminent BLA submission, a key value-inflection catalyst for the stock.

Beam Therapeutics Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
BEAMPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Regulatory Milestone

BLA Submission for risto-cel Expected as Early as Year-End 2026

Beam reiterated plans to submit a U.S. BLA for risto-cel to the FDA as early as end of 2026. The filing is a near-term regulatory catalyst that could drive re-rating as it approaches and upon acceptance.

Beam Therapeutics Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
BEAMNEUTRALNov 10, 2026
Conference Presentation

ASH 2026 Oral Presentation of BEACON Data

Beam will present earlier-cutoff BEACON data in an oral presentation at the ASH Annual Meeting (Dec 12-15, 2026). This is a near-term event that could provide additional durability/safety detail and move the stock depending on reception.

Beam Therapeutics Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
RIOTPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Analyst Upgrade

Jefferies upgrades RIOT to Buy; JPMorgan hikes PT

Jefferies upgraded RIOT to Buy from Hold and doubled its price target to $28 from $13, while JPMorgan raised its PT to $28 from $22 maintaining Overweight. Both cited attractive risk-adjusted economics of the Corsicana powered land lease, with Jefferies noting it lets RIOT monetize the site with less execution and financing risk. Stock rose ~2% pre-market on the news.

Yahoo Finance
LEGNNEGATIVENov 10, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 EPS miss drives double-digit stock decline

Legend reported Q3 2026 revenue of $359.5M (slightly above consensus) but a GAAP loss per share of $0.13 versus an expected near-breakeven, reversing Q2's first-ever profit. Shares fell roughly 10-16% as investors refocused on profitability durability; the miss is the dominant near-term price driver.

Investing.com
LEGNNEGATIVENov 10, 2026
Guidance / Management Commentary

CFO flags 2027 consensus at high end of expectations

On the Q3 call, CFO Carlos Santos said Wall Street's 2027 Carvykti sales consensus sits at the "higher end" of internal scenarios, citing ex-U.S. launch delays and slower earlier-line U.S. share growth amid bispecific competition. The cautious forward tone compounds the earnings miss and pressures near-term estimates.

FiercePharma
LEGNPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Clinical Data / Regulatory Update

Positive CARVYKTI five-year data and LB2501 IND clearance

Q3 release highlighted five-year CARTITUDE-2 Cohort A data (50% alive and progression-free off further treatment) and updated NCCN guidelines favoring CAR-T at first relapse, plus FDA IND clearance for LB2501 in vivo CAR-T. These support the long-term thesis but are secondary to near-term earnings concerns.

GlobeNewswire (Company Press Release)
GRABNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Partnership Ann.

$750M Grab commitment to Malaysia AI data centers with SoftBank

Grab signed joint development agreements with SoftBank and PETROS for $1.85B initial seed capital ($750M from Grab) to build AI infrastructure in Malaysia, targeting 5GW+ of AI compute. The agreements carry binding funding obligations, and shares fell 3.2% on the news as investors weighed the capital outlay against Grab's core business. SoftBank's five-year lock-up on its direct Grab shares is a modest offset.

SEC Filing (Form 6-K)
RIOTPOSITIVENov 4, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 earnings beat and $28B Corsicana AI lease

RIOT reported Q3 revenue of $181.4M and EPS of $0.01 versus analyst expectations of a $0.36 loss on $160.8M revenue, and announced a 15-year triple-net powered land lease with a leading Frontier AI Lab for its entire Corsicana campus (910 MW, ~$28B total contract value, ~$1.8B average annual rent). Shares jumped ~15% on the day; the deal materially shifts RIOT's valuation toward AI data center infrastructure and the company stated it does not anticipate issuing equity to fund projects.

Riot Platforms Press Release
BEAMNEUTRALNov 3, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 Financial Results and Portfolio Update

Beam reported a Q3 2026 net loss of $134.4 million ($1.28/share) on revenue of $307,000, with $1.0 billion in cash and runway into mid-2029. The update also highlighted BEAM-302 pivotal dosing completion expected in H1 2027 and BEAM-301 proof-of-concept data, framing the broader pipeline narrative.

Beam Therapeutics Q3 2026 Results
GRABPOSITIVENov 3, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue beat, record EBITDA, guidance raised

Grab reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1,112M (+27% YoY, +30% constant currency) and record Adjusted EBITDA of $237M (+73% YoY), with profit of $18M. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to $4.15–4.20B and Adjusted EBITDA to $790–800M. The beat-and-raise plus $400M of September–October buybacks ($500M remaining) is a positive near-term sentiment driver.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Press Release)
GRABNEGATIVENov 3, 2026
Regulatory Filing

$60M break fee after Taiwan FTC rejects foodpanda deal

Taiwan's Fair Trade Commission rejected Grab's proposed acquisition of Delivery Hero's foodpanda Taiwan business, forcing a $60M break fee to be recorded in Q4 2026. The charge is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and does not affect full-year guidance, but removes a growth catalyst and adds a one-time IFRS earnings hit.

SEC Filing (Q3 2026 Earnings Press Release)
BEAMPOSITIVEOct 27, 2026
Clinical Data Readout

BEAM-301 Initial Proof-of-Concept Data in GSDIa

Beam reported initial BEAM-301 Phase 1/2 data showing dose-dependent improvements in fasting tolerance and elimination of starch supplementation in two of three 40 mg patients, with a 60 mg cohort enrolling and FDA engagement planned. Positive but earlier-stage, it supports pipeline optionality.

Beam Therapeutics Press Release

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