Communication Services Short Portfolio

UPDATED ON

Nov 12

About this portfolio

Description

Communication Services Short holds up to 4 communication services names above $200M short. Selection weighs the model's negative score against its volatility score. Returns are those of a short position in the basket, so the figure rises when the basket falls.

Strategy

Equal capital goes into every position. The book is rebuilt each morning from the names the model expects to fall, and the orders are placed as market orders, so shorts and covers fill at the opening price. Positions are held for 9 to 21 days: they are not rotated out before day 9 and are covered by day 21. Every position carries a 40% stop on both sides. A short is covered if the price runs 40% above its entry, and equally if it falls 40% below it, filling at the first open after the level is touched. Reported returns are those of a short position in the basket: the position gains when the basket falls and loses when it rises. They are measured from those opening prices and include every stop exit. A short position's loss is not capped, and borrowing costs and stock-loan fees are not included.

Holdings:4
New Additions:0
Removed:0

Holdings4

FUBO

fuboTV Inc.
Sector:Communication Services
Industry:Broadcasting
Market Cap:$0.85B
Analysts Rating:2.5/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
50.0%
52.3%
45.4%

CCOI

Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.
Sector:Communication Services
Industry:Telecommunications Services
Market Cap:$0.20B
Analysts Rating:2.9/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
32.3%
72.9%
80.5%

GOGO

Gogo Inc.
Sector:Communication Services
Industry:Telecommunications Services
Market Cap:$0.53B
Analysts Rating:2.6/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
72.4%
58.4%
72.6%

SHEN

Shenandoah Telecommunications Company
Sector:Communication Services
Industry:Telecommunications Services
Market Cap:$0.53B
Analysts Rating:2.5/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
59.2%
30.8%
18.5%

Recent News & Events

FUBONEUTRALNov 17, 2026
Earnings Report

Q4/FY2026 earnings and first CEO strategic roadmap Nov 17

Fubo reports fiscal Q4/FY2026 results before the open on Nov 17, with CEO Elisa Bowen and CFO John Janedis hosting a call at 9:30 a.m. ET. This is Bowen's first substantive strategy and refreshed targets, making the report a binary catalyst; consensus is ~$1.51B revenue and ~$0.10 loss per share, with an Earnings Whisper of $0.13 loss. Key swing factors are whether Q4 adjusted EBITDA closes the year near the $90-100M pro forma guidance top, sustained double-digit ad CPM/fill-rate gains post-Disney ad-server migration, and subscriber durability after World Cup.

Earnings Whispers (via Finviz)
FUBOPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
Product/Distribution Expansion

Expanded regional sports network distribution and flexible sports packaging tests

Fubo is expanding regional sports network distribution and testing more flexible sports packaging, per recent updates. Progress on these initiatives, plus the ESPN Where to Watch link-out and planned Hulu + Live TV integration into the Disney+ app at end of calendar 2026, could be highlighted on the earnings call as distribution-advantage proof points supporting the bull case.

Yahoo Finance
FUBONEUTRALNov 9, 2026
Options Positioning / Volatility

Elevated implied volatility and heavy call buying ahead of earnings

Options show a 0.16 put/call ratio with ~150% implied volatility and 80% of volume in calls, indicating bullish institutional positioning into the Nov 17 print. This raises the probability of an outsized post-earnings move in either direction and suggests crowded bullish skew that could amplify a downside reaction if results or the roadmap disappoint.

Tradestie
CCOINEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Analyst Price Target Cut

Citigroup slashes CCOI price target to $5.20

Citigroup cut its price target to $5.20 from $11.50 while maintaining Neutral, a sharp reset reflecting the dividend suspension and refinancing risk. The lowered target anchors near-term valuation expectations and may cap any rebound.

MarketBeat
GOGONEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Short Squeeze / Post-Rally Volatility

Record 71.5% short-squeeze surge followed by profit-taking pullback

GOGO surged a record 71.5% on Nov 6 (from ~$2.22 to $3.885) as heavy short interest (>10% of shares outstanding) forced covering, then fell 7.46% to ~$3.60 on Monday Nov 9 as traders took profits. The unwind of a speculative, headline-driven spike implies elevated near-term volatility and risk of further give-back as focus returns to softer fundamentals.

Tickeron
SHENPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Investor Conference Participation

Management to present at six Q4 investor conferences

Shentel announced CFO Jim Volk will participate in a fiber panel at the J.P. Morgan U.S. Opportunities Forum on Nov 12, 2026, with additional meetings at Craig-Hallum (Nov 17), Wolfe Research (Dec 2-3), Raymond James (Dec 7), UBS (Dec 8), and Benchmark (Dec 10). The immediate catalyst is the Nov 12 panel, which could draw incremental investor attention and management commentary on the fiber-first strategy and cash generation.

StockTitan (GlobeNewswire)
CCOINEGATIVENov 6, 2026
Analyst Downgrade

KeyBanc downgrades CCOI to Sector Weight

KeyBanc downgraded Cogent to Sector Weight from Overweight, citing slow legacy growth, a slow Waves ramp, fast Sprint revenue decline, negative free cash flow, and refinancing concerns. The downgrade amplifies selling pressure and validates growth skepticism.

Investing.com
GOGOPOSITIVENov 6, 2026
Regulatory Approval / Spectrum License Renewal

FCC renews exclusive 800 MHz air-to-ground spectrum through 2036

The FCC renewed Gogo's exclusive 4 MHz of nationwide 800 MHz air-to-ground spectrum for 10 years through 2036. Management said it will evaluate the asset with banking advisors, raising the possibility of monetization or new partnerships. This was a primary trigger of the record short-squeeze rally and remains the key upside optionality for the stock.

Gogo Inc. Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
GOGOPOSITIVENov 6, 2026
Debt Refinancing / Deleveraging

Term Loan B amended and extended to 2030 with $75M paydown

Gogo completed an amendment and extension of its ~$600 million Term Loan B, pushing maturity to October 2030 (2.5 years of added runway) and committing to $75 million of principal repayments through 2027, including an immediate $25 million paydown. The move reduces near-term refinancing risk and directs free cash flow toward debt reduction, supporting the transformation strategy.

Gogo Inc. Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
GOGONEGATIVENov 6, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue down 5% YoY, net loss, guidance reiterated

Q3 2026 total revenue was $213.2 million, down 5% year over year and below consensus, with a $3.2 million net loss and Adjusted EBITDA down 27% to $41.0 million on lower high-margin ATG service revenue. Management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance ($870-895M revenue, $175-185M Adjusted EBITDA). Weak fundamentals are a headwind as the post-squeeze rally fades.

Gogo Inc. Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
GOGOPOSITIVENov 6, 2026
Product/Commercial Momentum

Record Galileo shipments and multiple OEM/MRO fleet wins

Gogo reported record Galileo equipment shipments of 172 units (up 95% YoY) and 297 units online (up 1550% YoY), plus wins including Textron standard-fit, PlaneSense 71-aircraft fleet, a Bombardier OEM order, a 40-unit Duncan Aviation MRO order, and a TransMedics 22-aircraft deal. These support the LEO/GEO transformation narrative and recurring revenue growth, though Galileo equipment carries lower margins near term.

Gogo Inc. Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
CCOINEGATIVENov 5, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue misses consensus; Sprint decline persists

Service revenue of $231.2M fell short of the $234.9M consensus (-4.2% YoY constant currency), with Sprint revenue dropping to ~$29M from $34M and core growth flattening. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 32%, but top-line weakness reinforces the bear case for near-term growth.

Cogent Press Release (PR Newswire)
CCOINEUTRALNov 5, 2026
Debt Refinancing / Asset Sale

$700M 2027 notes refinancing and data center sales in progress

Cogent is soliciting refinancing proposals for $700M of unsecured notes maturing June 15, 2027, and has signed two non-binding LOIs to sell four data centers for ~$100M expected to close early 2027. Progress or setbacks on refinancing terms are the key swing factor for the stock in the near term.

Defense World
CCOINEGATIVENov 4, 2026
Dividend Suspension

Cogent suspends dividend amid debt refinancing review

On Nov 4, 2026 the Board voted to suspend the quarterly dividend while the company evaluates options for $700M of unsecured notes due June 15, 2027, advised by Evercore and Latham & Watkins. The cut removes a key income-investor support pillar and signals balance-sheet stress, pressuring the stock near 52-week lows.

Cogent Press Release (PR Newswire)
SHENNEUTRALOct 28, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 revenue beats on fiber growth

Q3 revenue rose 4.6% to $93.9M, slightly above the $93.65M forecast, with Glo Fiber expansion revenue up 32.2% and Adjusted EBITDA up 11.8% to $33.2M. However, shares closed down 1.08% at $10.03 and remain near 52-week lows (down ~39% over six months), suggesting the beat was largely priced in and overshadowed by capex concerns.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Press Release
SHENNEGATIVEOct 28, 2026
Guidance Update

2026 capex guidance raised on Glo Fiber timing

Shentel raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance net of grant reimbursements to $255M-$275M from $220M-$250M, reflecting more homes passed (517,000 vs 510,000) and delayed subsidy reimbursements into 2027. The higher cash outlay near-term is a negative for free cash flow perception and likely weighs on sentiment despite unchanged revenue/EBITDA guidance.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Press Release
SHENNEUTRALOct 21, 2026
Dividend Declaration

Board declares $0.12 per share annual dividend

The Board declared a $0.12 per share cash dividend payable December 1, 2026 to shareholders of record November 2, 2026. The routine dividend is unlikely to be a major price mover but supports income-oriented holders; the ex-dividend date has already passed relative to the analysis window.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Investor Relations
FUBOPOSITIVESep 18, 2026
Analyst Rating

Wedbush reiterates Outperform with $19 price target

Wedbush reiterated an Outperform rating and maintained a $19 price target (Sept 18, 2026), well above the current ~$7.87 price and the ~$17 average target. The wide gap between analyst targets and the stock price underscores the binary nature of the upcoming earnings/strategy update as the potential re-rating trigger.

Yahoo Finance

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