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US October CPI rose 0.4% m/m versus 0.3% expected, with core up 0.3% versus 0.2%, the third consecutive upside surprise. The data triggered a sharp repricing of Fed expectations, sending the 2-year Treasury yield up roughly 17-20 bps to 4.74% and the 10-year back near 5%, pressuring rate-sensitive growth and AI infrastructure stocks.
Saxo BankFed Governor Waller said he could favor a 50bp hike in December if CPI came in hot, while Dallas Fed President Logan called for at least two more hikes. Markets now fully price a December hike plus two more by next June, a hawkish shift that raises borrowing costs and weighs on equity valuations.
Saxo BankCoreWeave posted Q3 sales of $3.66 billion (up 168% y/y) and a narrower-than-expected loss of $1.27 per share, and guided full-year revenue to $13-13.3 billion, above Wall Street estimates. Shares jumped over 18% after hours, lifting AI infrastructure sentiment despite the company's roughly $50 billion debt load.
Investing.com via Yahoo FinanceOpenAI reportedly generated $10 billion in revenue in the quarter ending September, up nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter and almost threefold year-over-year, per Bloomberg. The disclosure reinforces AI demand momentum and supports sentiment across AI-linked equities ahead of a potential IPO.
Investing.com via Yahoo FinanceHopes for de-escalating Middle East tensions sent oil prices down to their lowest level since August, easing inflation pressure and supporting equities. The move is a modest positive for risk assets but a headwind for energy sector earnings.
Investing.com via Yahoo FinanceUS cash Treasuries were closed for Veterans Day while equities traded, meaning the AI-led futures rebound occurred without bond market participation. Traders return Thursday with a 30-year bond auction and jobless claims, and a continuation of the yield selloff could reverse the equity recovery.
InvestingLiveOctober PPI is scheduled for Friday, following the hot CPI print, alongside Thursday's jobless claims and 30-year bond auction. A hot PPI would reinforce the hawkish Fed repricing and could extend the Treasury selloff, pressuring equities.
Saxo Bank