The October Consumer Price Index is released Tuesday, with headline CPI expected around 3.9% year-over-year and core cooling modestly on a monthly basis. A hotter-than-expected reading could reinforce expectations that rates stay elevated, pressuring growth and tech shares, while a softer print could ease yields and support equities.
The October Producer Price Index is scheduled for Friday, providing a second inflation signal after CPI. The reading will inform expectations for the Federal Reserve's December decision and could move Treasury yields, the dollar, and rate-sensitive equities.
AI-Linked Earnings From CoreWeave, Cisco, Applied Materials
CoreWeave, Cisco Systems, and Applied Materials report this week, offering insight into cloud, networking, and semiconductor demand tied to the AI buildout. Strong results could stabilize the AI trade after last week's sell-off; weak guidance could extend losses in AI-linked names.
Nvidia Board Investigates CEO Jensen Huang Allegations
Reports indicate Nvidia's board opened an investigation into CEO Jensen Huang over an alleged affair with a businesswoman suspected of Chinese intelligence links. Nvidia shares fell sharply in premarket and Frankfurt trading. Given Nvidia's central role in the AI trade, verified developments could drive significant volatility in AI-linked equities and the broader market.
Major Policy Announcements from US Regulatory Bodies
Democrats Plan Tougher AI and Data-Center Rules
Democrats are preparing legislative proposals targeting AI systems and data-center development when they take control of Congress in January, including consumer electricity-cost protections, independent testing of advanced AI, and liability clarifications. The proposals raise regulatory uncertainty for AI developers and data-center infrastructure investors, though they face likely White House opposition.
Post-Election AI Sell-Off Leaves Market Seeking Bottom
Last week saw a sharp reversal after the midterms, with the Nasdaq entering correction and the Magnificent Seven losing roughly $1 trillion in a single session. Traders expect continued volatility and possible further downside before a bottom, with elevated put/call ratios signaling extreme bearishness that could act as a contrarian signal.
December Fed Rate Hike Odds Elevated Ahead of Data
Markets assign roughly 78.7% probability to a Fed rate hike in December per CME FedWatch, with this week's CPI and PPI critical inputs. Hawkish data could cement hike expectations, lifting yields and pressuring equities; softer data could temper those bets.