Megacap holds up to 8 names from the S&P 500. Selection follows the model's positive score.
Strategy
Equal capital goes into every recommendation. Recommendations are published a few hours before the open and placed as market orders, so buys and sells fill at the opening price. Positions are held for 12 to 17 days. Every position carries a 15% stop-loss: if the price touches it during the day, the position is sold there, at 85% of its entry price. Reported returns are measured from those opening prices and include every stop-loss exit.
Moderna is scheduled to present detailed Phase 3 results for its personalized cancer vaccine, intismeran autogene, at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress in a Presidential Symposium. This data is highly anticipated as it will provide the first detailed look at the efficacy curves for the therapy, which has already met primary and secondary endpoints in the INTerpath-001 trial.
HP Inc. declared a cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on October 7, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 9, 2026. This represents a consistent return of capital to shareholders, though it is a routine corporate action.
Investigation into St. Paul Park refinery fatality
Law enforcement and safety regulators have launched an active investigation into a contractor fatality at the St. Paul Park refinery. This event exposes the company to potential OSHA compliance penalties, operational delays, and increased scrutiny of safety protocols.
Jefferies downgraded Marathon Petroleum from Buy to Hold, citing stretched valuations and an unfavorable risk-reward profile. The firm warned that current prices imply unsustainably high midcycle refining margins through 2030.
The White House is considering a ban on U.S. diesel exports to address domestic fuel price inflation. Such a policy could curtail Marathon's access to foreign buyers, potentially flooding the domestic market and compressing refining margins.
Super Micro Computer has commenced shipments of its new NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 racks, which feature the company's proprietary direct liquid cooling (DLC-2) technology. This rollout is a key strategic move to capture high-end AI infrastructure demand, though market reaction remains tempered by valuation concerns and broader governance risks.
KeyBanc raised its price target for Paycom from $270 to $280, maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm cited increased confidence in the sustainability of the company's margin expansion efforts and an accelerated pace of product innovation.
Goldman Sachs raised its price target for MPC from $376 to $472 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing strong refining margins and market positioning. This follows a period of significant stock price appreciation and new 52-week highs.
The company continues to face market pressure due to an ongoing independent board review regarding export-control transactions and potential Department of Justice (DOJ) investigations. Analysts note that these legal and governance uncertainties act as a persistent overhang on the stock price, despite strong revenue growth and a record backlog.
HPQ Withholds FY2027 Guidance and Warns of PC Decline
HP Inc. disclosed in an SEC filing that it will not provide fiscal 2027 financial guidance at this time and expects global PC unit volumes to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage in calendar 2027. This cautious outlook reflects persistent headwinds in the PC sector and has contributed to recent stock price volatility.
Skyworks has extended the expiration date and withdrawal deadline for its exchange offers for Qorvo's senior notes to September 25, 2026. This extension is a procedural step tied to the finalization of the $22 billion merger, which is expected to close by the end of 2026.
The Trade Desk has called a virtual special stockholder meeting for October 19, 2026, to seek approval for a one-time repricing of certain underwater stock options. This proposal affects over 15 million shares and reflects management's attempt to retain talent despite recent stock price declines.
Senior Executives and Major Shareholders Execute Stock Sales
Multiple senior executives, including the CFO, and entities associated with Silver Lake Partners have filed numerous reports of significant stock sales throughout September 2026. This sustained wave of insider liquidation has been identified by market observers as a factor contributing to recent downward volatility in the stock price.
A Schedule 13D/A filing revealed that Ernest Group, Inc. entered into a Rule 10b5-1 sales plan authorizing the sale of up to 1,090,000 shares. The sales are scheduled to occur between December 1, 2026 (or after Q3 earnings) and June 1, 2027, representing a pre-planned divestment rather than an immediate market action.