Healthcare Portfolio

UPDATED ON

Nov 12

About this portfolio

Description

Healthcare holds up to 5 names from healthcare stocks above $200M. Selection follows the model's positive score together with its composite positive factor.

Strategy

Equal capital goes into every recommendation. Recommendations are published a few hours before the open and placed as market orders, so buys and sells fill at the opening price. Positions are held for 6 to 21 days. Every position carries a 20% stop-loss: if the price touches it during the day, the position is sold there, at 80% of its entry price. Reported returns are measured from those opening prices and include every stop-loss exit.

Holdings:5
New Additions:2
Removed:2

Holdings5

NEW

OCS

Oculis Holding AG
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$0.46B
Analysts Target:+390%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
56.4%
31.5%
49.0%
NEW

ABCL

AbCellera Biologics Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$3.85B
Analysts Target:+53%
Analysts Rating:2.1/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
77.6%
60.8%
55.2%

KYTX

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$0.30B
Analysts Target:+412%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
53.2%
42.0%
37.4%

MBX

MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$2.47B
Analysts Target:+94%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
43.9%
68.6%
37.7%

FTH

Faeth Therapeutics, Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$0.57B
Analysts Target:+165%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
62.5%
27.0%
63.8%
Removed Stocks2
REMOVED

SLS

SELLAS Life Sciences Group, Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$1.70B
Analysts Target:+315%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
63.2%
30.2%
56.4%
REMOVED

CGEM

Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc.
Sector:Healthcare
Industry:Biotechnology
Market Cap:$0.69B
Analysts Target:+203%
Analysts Rating:2.0/5
ForecastQ Daily Probabilities
53.1%
23.3%
40.6%

Recent News & Events

KYTXNEGATIVENov 11, 2026
Legal Investigation

KSF initiates investigation of Kyverna officers and directors

Kahn Swick & Foti announced an investigation into Kyverna's officers and directors tied to a securities lawsuit alleging the 2024 IPO registration statement misstated or omitted adverse KYV-101 clinical data. Renewed litigation headlines can pressure sentiment and raise perceived governance risk in the near term.

Business Wire
KYTXNEUTRALNov 11, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 earnings expected imminently

Analysts expect a Q3 2026 net loss of roughly $0.69 per share with negligible revenue. Investors will focus on confirmation that the rolling BLA submission for miv-cel in SPS remains on track for Q4 2026 completion and any FDA review commentary; a slip or cash burn surprise would be negative.

Tickeron
ABCLPOSITIVENov 11, 2026
Analyst Price Target Raise

StoneX raises ABCL PT to $15, maintains Buy

StoneX lifted its price target to $15 from $11 while keeping a Buy rating, citing shares having met the prior target. A higher PT from a credible firm can attract momentum buyers and reinforce the post-earnings bid.

Investing.com
MBXNEUTRALNov 10, 2026
Conference Presentation / Management Commentary

Guggenheim conference tempers obesity data expectations

At the Guggenheim Healthcare Innovation Conference, management cautioned investors not to "get over your skis" on the early 7% weight loss (only 8 subjects, 6 active) and noted the obesity franchise may need outside capital and partners. This tempered framing could cap upside enthusiasm ahead of the Q4 readout.

Investing.com
FTHPOSITIVENov 10, 2026
Analyst Rating Reiteration

Baird Reiterates Outperform, $57 Price Target

Baird maintained an Outperform rating and $57 target (vs. ~$12.79 trading price), defending the PIK-201 dataset as validation of the PIKTOR program in endometrial and breast cancer. Analyst defense could support a near-term sentiment rebound given the wide gap to price targets ($40-$69 range).

Investing.com
ABCLNEGATIVENov 10, 2026
Program Discontinuation

ABCL575 OX40 program halted after Phase 1

Despite meeting all Phase 1 endpoints, AbCellera will not advance ABCL575 past Phase 1, citing external developments in the OX40/OX40L class. The write-off of a pipeline asset is a modest negative, though focus shifting to ABCL635 limits the damage.

Fierce Biotech
KYTXPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Clinical Data Publication

Miv-cel SPS registrational data published in JAMA Neurology

Kyverna announced publication of the KYSA-8 registrational trial primary analysis in JAMA Neurology, showing statistically significant improvements across all primary and secondary endpoints at 16 weeks with a well-tolerated safety profile. Peer-reviewed validation of the lead asset ahead of the rolling BLA completion supports the regulatory narrative and could draw incremental institutional interest.

Kyverna Therapeutics Press Release
MBXPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Clinical Data Readout (Upcoming)

12-week MAD data for MBX 4291 due Q4 2026

MBX confirmed the unblinded 12-week multiple ascending dose (Part C, Cohort 1) data for obesity candidate MBX 4291 remains on track for Q4 2026. This is the key near-term binary catalyst to confirm durability of the ~7% weight loss seen at 8 weeks and the tolerability profile; strong data could drive a sharp re-rating, weak data a selloff.

MBX Biosciences Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
MBXPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Conference Presentation

ObesityWeek 2026 preclinical data for MBX 6180

MBX will present preclinical pharmacokinetic data for MBX 6180, a once-monthly GLP-1/GIP/GCG triple agonist prodrug, at ObesityWeek 2026 (Nov 14-17, Washington D.C.). Positive preclinical exposure could reinforce the platform narrative and support sentiment into the event.

MBX Biosciences Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
MBXNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 results show wider-than-expected loss

MBX reported Q3 2026 EPS of -$1.29 versus consensus -$0.80, with net loss widening to $62.4M (including $20.8M stock comp tied to former CEO award modification) and R&D up to $32.0M on Phase 3 start-up costs. Cash of $481.6M funds operations into 2029, limiting financing overhang, but the headline miss may weigh on near-term sentiment.

MBX Biosciences Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
FTHNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Clinical Trial Results

Positive Preliminary Phase 2 PIK-201 Topline Data Released

Faeth reported a 33% confirmed ORR (44% in PIK3CA-mutant patients), 83% DCR, and 7.4-month median PFS for PIKTOR plus paclitaxel in advanced endometrial cancer, with a manageable safety profile. While framed as positive and supportive of Phase 3 advancement, the market reacted negatively, suggesting investors viewed the efficacy bar as insufficient versus expectations.

Faeth Therapeutics Press Release
FTHNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Stock Price Reaction

Shares Plunge ~42% on Efficacy Skepticism

FTH fell more than 40% following the data release as investors questioned the 33% ORR and the exclusion of six patients from the efficacy-evaluable population. The sharp drawdown reflects heightened near-term volatility and negative sentiment that could persist or reverse on analyst defense.

Investor's Business Daily
FTHNEUTRALNov 9, 2026
Regulatory Update

FDA End-of-Phase 2 Meeting Held; Guidance Pending

Management disclosed a Type B FDA end-of-phase 2 meeting held November 3, 2026, with minutes still awaited and explicit regulatory guidance on a pivotal Phase 3 plan expected in H1 2027. The pending clarity on registrational path is a forward catalyst, though timing extends beyond the immediate two-week window.

StockAnalysis.com (Earnings Transcript)
OCSPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Investor Event

R&D Day scheduled December 8, 2026 in New York

Oculis will host an in-person and virtual R&D Day on December 8, 2026, featuring comprehensive updates on the late-stage pipeline (Licaminlimab in DED, Privosegtor across neuro-ophthalmology/neurology) and insights from key opinion leaders. Such events can move shares via new data disclosures or reinforced guidance ahead of the PREDICT-1 readout.

Oculis Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
OCSNEUTRALNov 9, 2026
Conference Presentation

Management presented at Guggenheim Healthcare Conference

Oculis management discussed its precision-medicine strategy, noting a CHF 100 million BlackRock debt facility and runway through 2H 2029 covering PREDICT-1 and PIONEER-1/2/3 trials. Reinforces funding security but is largely a reiteration of known financial position.

Investing.com
ABCLPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 earnings beat on EPS and revenue

AbCellera reported Q3 2026 EPS of -$0.13 vs. -$0.17 consensus and revenue of $10.63M vs. $6.21M expected, a wide top-line beat. The narrower loss and revenue surprise support near-term positive sentiment and validate the collaboration revenue base.

Investing.com
ABCLPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Clinical Data Readout

Positive Phase 2 data for ABCL635 in VMS

ABCL635 showed significant reductions in frequency/severity of vasomotor symptoms with favorable tolerability, and AbCellera plans late-stage development in 2027 plus expansion into cancer-treatment-induced VMS. The lead-program validation is the core driver of the recent share rally and near-term momentum.

Company Press Release
ABCLPOSITIVENov 9, 2026
Capital Raise

$200M common share and pre-funded warrant offering

AbCellera completed a $200M equity offering, lifting available liquidity to roughly $890-900M. While dilutive, the strengthened balance sheet funds late-stage ABCL635 development and reduces financing risk, a net near-term positive for a clinical-stage biotech.

Company Press Release
ABCLNEGATIVENov 9, 2026
Valuation Concern

Stock flagged as overvalued near 52-week high

Following an ~8.6% post-earnings move, ABCL trades near the top of its 52-week range with InvestingPro data flagging it as overvalued versus fair value. Elevated valuation and concentration risk in ABCL635 could cap near-term upside or invite profit-taking.

Investing.com
KYTXNEUTRALNov 5, 2026
Conference Presentation

Management to present at Jefferies London Healthcare Conference

Kyverna management will present at the Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference in London on November 19, 2026. Conference appearances offer a venue for BLA timeline updates and pipeline commentary that can move the stock, particularly given proximity to the Q3 report.

Kyverna Therapeutics Press Release
OCSPOSITIVENov 3, 2026
Clinical Trial Readout

PREDICT-1 dry eye topline results due around year-end 2026

Patient randomization is complete in the PREDICT-1 registrational symptoms trial of Licaminlimab for TNFR1-mediated dry eye disease, with topline results anticipated around year-end 2026. This is a binary, stock-moving readout for the company's lead precision-medicine asset; positive data could drive significant upside, while a miss would be sharply negative.

Oculis Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
OCSPOSITIVENov 3, 2026
Regulatory Milestone

IND clearance for Privosegtor in acute MS relapses expected Q4 2026

Following positive FDA feedback supporting the regulatory pathway, Oculis expects IND clearance in Q4 2026 to initiate trials of Privosegtor in acute multiple sclerosis relapses. A near-term regulatory green light would expand the "pipeline-in-a-product" narrative and could act as a positive catalyst.

Oculis Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
OCSNEGATIVENov 3, 2026
Earnings Report

Q3 2026 results show widened net loss

Oculis reported Q3 2026 results with net loss widening to CHF 18.24 million from a year earlier, alongside cash of $252.0 million and runway into 2H 2029. The widened loss is a modest negative, though the strong cash position and funded trial coverage mitigate financing overhang; shares rose modestly after-hours.

Oculis Press Release (GlobeNewswire)
MBXPOSITIVEOct 12, 2026
Analyst Price Target Raise

Stifel raises PT to $84 on MBX 4291 data

Stifel lifted its price target to $84 from $70 (Buy), citing the upcoming Part C readout and framing 6-8% weight loss as competitive, with ~10% plus better tolerability potentially pushing shares above $80. The note anchors bullish expectations ahead of the data and may amplify the reaction to the readout.

Investing.com
KYTXPOSITIVEAug 11, 2026
Regulatory Milestone Guidance

Rolling BLA completion guided for Q4 2026

Kyverna has submitted the CMC module of its rolling BLA for miv-cel in SPS and remains on track to complete submission in Q4 2026, with plans to seek priority review under RMAT. Confirmation of this timeline is the key near-term regulatory catalyst and underpins the potential 2027 launch thesis.

SEC Filing (EX-99.1)

ForecastQ

Quantitative stocks signals powered by AI


The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. ForecastQ is a research platform, a living documentation of an engineering experiment. We are not financial advisors.


© ForecastQ. All rights reserved.