Smallcap Returns

Description

Small caps above $200M trading at $1 or more. Names are ranked on model conviction among stocks at or above their analyst target and spread across up to 12 slots. There is no maximum hold: a position leaves when it falls out of the ranking or hits its 25% stop-loss.

Strategy

Equal capital is invested in every stock recommendation. Recommendations are published a few hours before the open, and each one is placed as a market order with a 25% stop-loss attached, so buys and sells fill at the opening price. If the price touches the stop during the day, the position is sold there, at 75% of its entry price. There is no maximum holding period: a position exits when it drops out of the ranking or when the stop is hit. Reported returns are measured from those opening prices and include every stop-loss exit.

Started with
$100,000
Jun 25, 2025
Worth now
$353,080
Sep 4, 2026
Last day−0.64%
Last week−0.42%
Last month+9.30%
Last year+144.03%
Overall+253.08%

Portfolio Value Over Time

Return Distributions

How often each size of move has happened. Losses sit left of zero, gains to the right, measured between the closes of each session, week and month.

ForecastQ

Quantitative stock signals powered by custom machine learning models and LLMs.


The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. ForecastQ is a research platform, a living documentation of an engineering experiment. We are not financial advisors.


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